When the Islanders won the 2025 NHL Draft Lottery, it wasn’t just a win for the franchise; it was a chance to reshape the future of hockey. And while some fans are dreaming of James Hagens, the top-rated forward from their own backyard, the overwhelming consensus on the New York Islanders is this: Matthew Schaefer is the No. 1 pick. Full stop.
The 17-year-old defenseman from the Erie Otters has not only survived one of the most difficult years imaginable. He’s emerged from it as one of the most mature, composed, and elite prospects in recent memory.
Matthew Schaefer, built for New York
Schaefer isn’t just a top pick because of size and skill. He is 6’2” and 186 pounds, with elite skating and two-way dominance; he checks every box. He’s a leader. A competitor. A player whose IQ and maturity have scouts comparing him to Drew Doughty and Miro Heiskanen.
He played just 17 OHL games this season, but his impact was undeniable: 22 points, +21 rating, and a string of dominant performances in international tournaments. Insiders see him as a true No. 1 defenseman, the type of player teams dream about building around.
More than numbers: Schaefer’s story is personal
This year alone, Schaefer endured a broken collarbone, the death of his billet mom, and the passing of his mother from breast cancer. Yet, through all of it, he’s shown resilience that defines champions. Off the ice, he’s become a grief advocate and an ambassador for mental health causes.
For the Islanders, who’ve lacked a cornerstone defenseman since the early years of Ryan Pulock, Schaefer offers a rare combination of high-end skill and high-character leadership.
Don’t overthink it: Schaefer is the right pick
Yes, James Hagens is a feel-good local story. Yes, Michael Misa is a dynamic scorer. But Matthew Schaefer is the franchise-changing player the New York Islanders can’t afford to pass on.
With new front office leadership and a fan base hungry for identity and consistency, Schaefer represents the type of player New York can rally behind for the next decade.
Come June 27, when the Islanders step up to the podium in Los Angeles, the choice should be easy.